• 2022-04-25

    The closure of Turkey’s air space to all Russian aircraft has not come as a surprise to Moscow, which is aware that Ankara and Washington are involved in a new dalliance and that there is a full spectrum calibration of Turkish regional policies under way. The best evidence of it is that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan now says that a “reasonable, consistent and balanced relationship” with Israel is the only way to effectively defend the Palestinian cause, while Ankara’s rapprochement with Jerusalem solidifies despite intense tensions over the Al-Aqsa Mosque. […] While Israel has a parochial and time-serving foreign policy, what distinguishes Iran’s compass is its sheer breadth of strategic vision. Iran understands perfectly well that the west is pursuing dangerous intentions in the Ukraine crisis. Tehran sees through “the west’s strategy of turning Ukraine into a deadly quagmire for Russia to create the conditions for the west to play a more active role on the world stage, especially in the eastern hemisphere, by removing it from the list of major players on the international stage,” as an influential Iranian commentator wrote last week. Conceivably, Iran’s best hope and interest would lie in Russia’s success in overcoming the crisis which may lead to a reset of the world order in the direction of greater multipolarity away from the prevailing western-led political and financial systems.The closure of Turkey’s air space to all Russian aircraft has not come as a surprise to Moscow, which is aware that Ankara and Washington are involved in a new dalliance and that there is a full spectrum calibration of Turkish regional policies under way. The best evidence of it is that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan now says that a “reasonable, consistent and balanced relationship” with Israel is the only way to effectively defend the Palestinian cause, while Ankara’s rapprochement with Jerusalem solidifies despite intense tensions over the Al-Aqsa Mosque. […] While Israel has a parochial and time-serving foreign policy, what distinguishes Iran’s compass is its sheer breadth of strategic vision. Iran understands perfectly well that the west is pursuing dangerous intentions in the Ukraine crisis. Tehran sees through “the west’s strategy of turning Ukraine into a deadly quagmire for Russia to create the conditions for the west to play a more active role on the world stage, especially in the eastern hemisphere, by removing it from the list of major players on the international stage,” as an influential Iranian commentator wrote last week. Conceivably, Iran’s best hope and interest would lie in Russia’s success in overcoming the crisis which may lead to a reset of the world order in the direction of greater multipolarity away from the prevailing western-led political and financial systems.

  • 2022-04-22

    In the new reality, by its blunt intervention in Russia’s special operation in Ukraine expressed not only in political support, but also in supplying weapons for the Kiev’s nazi authorities, the Biden administration has already begun to develop and deploy its new global strategy. Apparently, this strategy is based around creating tough competition with other world super powers, primarily with China and Russia, focusing on the military repositioning of troops and weapons to create massive containment along the borders of these competing powers. Particular attention is paid to resuming old US alliances or establishing the new ones. By implementing this strategy, Washington seeks to win global disputes with rival powers and strengthen relations with its allies.In the new reality, by its blunt intervention in Russia’s special operation in Ukraine expressed not only in political support, but also in supplying weapons for the Kiev’s nazi authorities, the Biden administration has already begun to develop and deploy its new global strategy. Apparently, this strategy is based around creating tough competition with other world super powers, primarily with China and Russia, focusing on the military repositioning of troops and weapons to create massive containment along the borders of these competing powers. Particular attention is paid to resuming old US alliances or establishing the new ones. By implementing this strategy, Washington seeks to win global disputes with rival powers and strengthen relations with its allies.

  • 2022-04-20

    The past several decades have seen the political ascendency of Shia Muslims in West Asian geopolitics. While initially ignited by Iran’s Islamic Revolution of 1979, it was the aftermath of the illegal US invasion of Iraq in 2003 which accelerated this political shift by paving the way for Iraq’s Shia majority to govern. […] Tehran’s efforts to forge ties with friendly governments, powerful political parties, and militia forces are arguably based on pragmatism and self-interest rather than sectarian ideology. Among the state and non-state actors that provide Iran with its regional strategic depth – and therefore, influence – are Sunnis, Druze, Christians, Alawis, Zaidis, and other non-Shia populations. This alliance is more commonly – and accurately – known as the Axis of Resistance and its fundamental tenet is opposition to both western imperialism and the Zionist project, and a desire for self-determination. […] Arab and Muslim populations everywhere would otherwise likely support operations to purge western military interventionism and Israel’s aggressions from West Asia. But say ‘Iran,’ ‘Persia’ or ‘Shia’ and the Arab Sunni elite manage to confuse and quash mass popular resentment of their own malign behaviors.

  • 2022-04-11

    Iran’s 13 March missile strikes on purported Israeli strategic centers in the Iraqi Kurdistan Region (IKR) was met with swift condemnation by Turkey. This is indicative of the conflicting nature of the relationship between both countries, but also of Turkey’s budding entente with Israel. Amid escalations in drone and cyber warfare between Tehran and Israel, the IKR as an established venue of Israeli-Turkish strategic cooperation may become a target for an increasingly assertive and interventionist Iran determined to disrupt this partnership. This coincides with progress made in talks to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

  • 2022-03-31

    The Negev Summit saw an unprecedented level of Arab-Israeli security cooperation to counter the Axis of Resistance, but took place against the backdrop of a seismic shift in the global balance of power. Is it dead on arrival?

  • 2022-03-21

    Energy-rich Qatar’s designation as a major non-NATO ally may upset the Persian Gulf balance, but could be a means for the US to counter a Sino-Russian lockhold on Eurasia.

  • 2022-03-17

    The Tehran-Tel Aviv war is out in the open. Israel's Mossad is actively pursuing an infiltration of Iran's strategic depth and edging up to its borders. But now Iran will retaliate to oust the Israelis from places they don't belong.

  • 2022-03-16

    Tehran and Moscow appear to have dispensed with thorny setbacks to their relationship and look set to strike comprehensive new bilateral and multilateral arrangements

  • 2022-03-13

    Revolutionary Guards say barrage aimed at Israeli “strategic center” in Iraq, according to Iranian media. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) said on Sunday, cited by Iranian media, that it had launched a volley of precision missile strikes at “the Zionists’ strategic center of plotting and evil” in the northern Iraqi city of Erbil the night before. The strikes, which came close to a US diplomatic compound, came several days after Israeli air strikes in Syria that, Tehran says, killed two IRGC officers.Revolutionary Guards say barrage aimed at Israeli “strategic center” in Iraq, according to Iranian media. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) said on Sunday, cited by Iranian media, that it had launched a volley of precision missile strikes at “the Zionists’ strategic center of plotting and evil” in the northern Iraqi city of Erbil the night before. The strikes, which came close to a US diplomatic compound, came several days after Israeli air strikes in Syria that, Tehran says, killed two IRGC officers.

  • 2022-03-07

    According to a report by the Israeli news outlet Jerusalem Post from 6 March, Iranian air defense systems, which have been deployed in Syria, are currently active, frustrating Israeli airstrikes and causing the Israeli Air Force (IAF) to constantly alter its strategies. Iranian air defense systems were deployed in 2021 in response to increasing Israeli airstrikes on Syria. The Iranian systems rely on advanced technology that the IAF is not used to, in comparison to the older Russian systems, consisting of various SA models and the Pantsir 1. Russian S-300 and S-400 systems are on Syrian soil, but are operated by the Russian army, not the Syrian army, and have yet to be activated and used.

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